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Red82
495433.4
137019.2
437319.3
Blue88
397432.6
48625.4
434230.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65940501502008288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.41.0
28.529.5
Auto9.4
Teleop18.4
End5.6
red by 0.8
3974
#27
32.60.1
33.833.8
Auto11.1
Teleop16.5
End4.9
Second
4373
#26
19.31.0
18.119.1
Auto1.3
Teleop15.4
End2.7
blue by 11.5
30.80.1
28.928.9
Auto8.6
Teleop17.6
End4.5
Third
1370
#37
19.21.0
20.421.4
Auto8.6
Teleop9.7
End0.9
blue by 6.2
486
#13
25.40.1
24.324.4
Auto8.5
Teleop12.0
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
58%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsEarned