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Red71
315117.8
465331.1
32126.1
Blue96
116823.7
43326.0
540132.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67700204060801001201407196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.10.4
31.231.6
Auto8.9
Teleop16.8
End5.5
blue by 1.6
32.71.9
22.624.5
Auto3.9
Teleop19.8
End9.1
Second
321
#32
26.10.4
18.619.0
Auto6.2
Teleop17.4
End2.5
red by 0.1
433
#16
26.01.9
21.723.6
Auto7.0
Teleop14.9
End4.1
Third
3151
#34
17.80.4
15.716.1
Auto5.1
Teleop9.7
End3.0
blue by 5.8
1168
#29
23.71.9
23.125.0
Auto4.4
Teleop14.3
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
57%Breach oddsEarned85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed