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Red102
164043.3
10324.5
518127.8
Blue90
81619.3
171226.3
48429.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions956505015020010290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.31.0
36.037.0
Auto13.8
Teleop24.4
End5.1
red by 14.3
484
#19
29.00.8
20.221.0
Auto9.1
Teleop14.4
End5.5
Second
5181
#14
27.81.0
25.426.4
Auto9.4
Teleop13.5
End4.9
red by 1.5
1712
#20
26.30.8
28.229.0
Auto7.3
Teleop14.9
End4.1
Third
103
#17
24.51.0
26.127.0
Auto2.0
Teleop17.1
End5.4
red by 5.2
816
#30
19.30.8
19.220.0
Auto5.5
Teleop8.8
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
71%Breach oddsEarned64%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed