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Red81
42327.0
70838.8
27224.7
Blue82
549018.1
22551.6
260726.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91950501508182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
708
#2
38.80.5
38.137.6
Auto6.9
Teleop20.8
End11.1
blue by 12.8
225
#1
51.61.0
45.344.3
Auto13.7
Teleop29.2
End8.8
Second
423
#22
27.00.5
24.924.4
Auto8.0
Teleop13.9
End5.1
red by 0.1
2607
#36
26.91.0
28.727.7
Auto8.6
Teleop14.5
End3.7
Third
272
#28
24.70.5
25.825.3
Auto9.4
Teleop11.3
End4.0
red by 6.6
5490
#25
18.11.0
17.716.7
Auto4.0
Teleop12.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned68%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
9%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed