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Red89
540725.8
495433.4
81619.3
Blue73
139126.0
137019.2
34133.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions718102003004005008973

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.40.9
29.130.0
Auto9.4
Teleop18.4
End5.6
blue by 0.1
341
#31
33.50.6
30.830.2
Auto6.5
Teleop19.2
End7.7
Second
5407
#11
25.80.9
23.924.8
Auto10.3
Teleop11.8
End3.6
blue by 0.3
1391
#33
26.00.6
27.827.1
Auto8.1
Teleop12.7
End5.3
Third
816
#30
19.30.9
17.918.7
Auto5.5
Teleop8.8
End5.0
red by 0.1
1370
#37
19.20.6
18.918.2
Auto8.6
Teleop9.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
51%Breach oddsEarned70%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed