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Red92
518127.8
48625.4
27224.7
Blue108
43326.0
465331.1
164043.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7910505015020092108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5181
#14
27.80.4
26.827.2
Auto9.4
Teleop13.5
End4.9
blue by 15.5
43.30.3
40.941.2
Auto13.8
Teleop24.4
End5.1
Second
486
#13
25.40.4
27.527.9
Auto8.5
Teleop12.0
End4.9
blue by 5.7
31.10.3
31.231.6
Auto8.9
Teleop16.8
End5.5
Third
272
#28
24.70.4
26.326.7
Auto9.4
Teleop11.3
End4.0
blue by 1.3
433
#16
26.00.3
25.726.1
Auto7.0
Teleop14.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed