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Red68
315117.8
10324.5
397432.6
Blue109
260726.9
437319.3
164043.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7888406010012014068109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3974
#27
32.60.9
33.432.5
Auto11.1
Teleop16.5
End4.9
blue by 10.8
43.31.7
41.142.8
Auto13.8
Teleop24.4
End5.1
Second
103
#17
24.50.9
25.925.0
Auto2.0
Teleop17.1
End5.4
blue by 2.4
2607
#36
26.91.7
25.627.3
Auto8.6
Teleop14.5
End3.7
Third
3151
#34
17.80.9
17.716.7
Auto5.1
Teleop9.7
End3.0
blue by 1.5
4373
#26
19.31.7
16.918.6
Auto1.3
Teleop15.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
59%Breach oddsMissed78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
18%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned