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Red86
137019.2
42327.0
465331.1
Blue107
34133.5
48429.0
542021.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7879405060709010011086107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.10.7
30.831.4
Auto8.9
Teleop16.8
End5.5
blue by 2.4
341
#31
33.51.4
30.431.8
Auto6.5
Teleop19.2
End7.7
Second
423
#22
27.00.7
26.327.0
Auto8.0
Teleop13.9
End5.1
blue by 2.0
484
#19
29.01.4
26.027.3
Auto9.1
Teleop14.4
End5.5
Third
1370
#37
19.20.7
18.519.2
Auto8.6
Teleop9.7
End0.9
blue by 2.3
5420
#35
21.51.4
20.221.5
Auto3.1
Teleop14.1
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
75%Breach oddsEarned65%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed