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Red74
260726.9
48625.4
116823.7
Blue102
540132.7
255926.7
139126.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7887406010012014074102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2607
#36
26.90.2
27.327.1
Auto8.6
Teleop14.5
End3.7
blue by 5.8
32.71.3
31.933.2
Auto3.9
Teleop19.8
End9.1
Second
486
#13
25.40.2
25.825.6
Auto8.5
Teleop12.0
End4.9
blue by 1.3
2559
#18
26.71.3
25.426.7
Auto8.3
Teleop15.7
End2.7
Third
1168
#29
23.70.2
23.923.7
Auto4.4
Teleop14.3
End4.9
blue by 2.4
1391
#33
26.01.3
25.626.9
Auto8.1
Teleop12.7
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsEarned