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Red97
392925.0
121833.8
540435.1
Blue109
540725.8
22551.6
315117.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99955015020097109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5404
#10
35.10.6
36.135.5
Auto6.3
Teleop24.4
End4.4
blue by 16.5
225
#1
51.61.1
51.452.5
Auto13.7
Teleop29.2
End8.8
Second
1218
#23
33.80.6
34.333.7
Auto9.0
Teleop19.3
End5.5
red by 8.0
5407
#11
25.81.1
24.625.7
Auto10.3
Teleop11.8
End3.6
Third
3929
#24
25.00.6
25.524.9
Auto9.0
Teleop12.6
End3.4
red by 7.2
3151
#34
17.81.1
16.717.8
Auto5.1
Teleop9.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
7%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed