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Red78
463721.9
437319.3
518127.8
Blue107
31622.0
164043.3
81619.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6786204010012014016078107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5181
#14
27.80.7
27.528.2
Auto9.4
Teleop13.5
End4.9
blue by 15.5
43.31.4
42.844.2
Auto13.8
Teleop24.4
End5.1
Second
4637
#12
21.90.7
21.522.2
Auto5.4
Teleop14.6
End2.0
blue by 0.1
316
#15
22.01.4
20.221.6
Auto7.5
Teleop11.7
End2.8
Third
4373
#26
19.30.7
18.619.3
Auto1.3
Teleop15.4
End2.7
Level
816
#30
19.31.4
17.919.3
Auto5.5
Teleop8.8
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned66%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed