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Red161
164043.3
22551.6
139126.0
Blue109
121833.8
31622.0
171226.3
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15893050200250161109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#1
51.60.4
51.951.5
Auto13.7
Teleop29.2
End8.8
red by 17.8
1218
#23
33.80.0
33.833.8
Auto9.0
Teleop19.3
End5.5
Second
43.30.4
43.643.2
Auto13.8
Teleop24.4
End5.1
red by 17.0
1712
#20
26.30.0
26.326.3
Auto7.3
Teleop14.9
End4.1
Third
1391
#33
26.00.4
26.325.9
Auto8.1
Teleop12.7
End5.3
red by 4.1
316
#15
22.00.0
21.922.0
Auto7.5
Teleop11.7
End2.8