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Red112
114337.3
465331.1
518127.8
Blue115
121833.8
434230.8
171226.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121114406080100140160180200112115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.30.2
37.637.4
Auto8.8
Teleop23.9
End4.5
red by 3.5
1218
#23
33.80.0
33.733.7
Auto9.0
Teleop19.3
End5.5
Second
31.10.2
31.431.2
Auto8.9
Teleop16.8
End5.5
red by 0.3
30.80.0
31.131.1
Auto8.6
Teleop17.6
End4.5
Third
5181
#14
27.80.2
28.227.9
Auto9.4
Teleop13.5
End4.9
red by 1.5
1712
#20
26.30.0
26.326.2
Auto7.3
Teleop14.9
End4.1