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Red108
36539.0
70838.8
255926.7
Blue119
34133.5
495433.4
48429.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139105050200250108119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#5
39.00.4
39.539.1
Auto8.8
Teleop23.1
End7.1
red by 5.5
341
#31
33.50.0
32.232.3
Auto6.5
Teleop19.2
End7.7
Second
708
#2
38.80.4
39.338.9
Auto6.9
Teleop20.8
End11.1
red by 5.4
33.40.0
32.232.2
Auto9.4
Teleop18.4
End5.6
Third
2559
#18
26.70.4
27.226.8
Auto8.3
Teleop15.7
End2.7
blue by 2.3
484
#19
29.00.0
27.827.8
Auto9.1
Teleop14.4
End5.5