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Red118
491528.6
582722.5
36041.6
Blue122
498036.1
302438.0
99727.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89106406080120140160118122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#5
41.62.0
41.643.5
Auto9.7
Teleop27.0
End5.0
red by 3.7
3024
#30
38.00.8
36.637.4
Auto8.6
Teleop23.7
End5.6
Second
4915
#55
28.62.0
26.728.6
Auto8.7
Teleop16.5
End3.4
blue by 7.5
4980
#44
36.10.8
36.237.0
Auto9.8
Teleop15.0
End11.3
Third
5827
#54
22.52.0
20.422.4
Auto8.8
Teleop10.8
End3.0
blue by 5.2
997
#60
27.70.8
27.628.4
Auto8.0
Teleop17.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned82%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
7%Capture oddsEarned3%Capture oddsEarned