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Red118
357436.2
298031.1
142542.1
Blue116
291033.8
290733.8
545033.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11699406080140160180118116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.10.5
43.844.3
Auto7.8
Teleop20.7
End13.6
red by 8.3
2910
#21
33.80.8
30.431.2
Auto8.2
Teleop16.9
End8.7
Second
3574
#12
36.20.5
37.137.6
Auto9.3
Teleop21.5
End5.3
red by 2.4
2907
#29
33.80.8
35.236.0
Auto10.2
Teleop18.4
End5.1
Third
2980
#17
31.10.5
29.730.2
Auto6.7
Teleop20.1
End4.3
blue by 2.2
5450
#19
33.30.8
33.234.0
Auto7.3
Teleop20.0
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
56%Capture oddsEarned29%Capture oddsEarned