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Red128
405736.9
549533.6
597030.2
Blue111
292831.3
159536.4
367436.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions951026080120140160128111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4057
#41
36.92.0
35.737.6
Auto7.5
Teleop24.5
End4.9
red by 0.5
3674
#46
36.40.8
33.734.6
Auto7.8
Teleop23.1
End5.5
Second
5495
#20
33.62.0
32.334.3
Auto10.4
Teleop18.5
End4.7
blue by 2.8
1595
#32
36.40.8
34.635.5
Auto11.4
Teleop18.4
End6.6
Third
5970
#48
30.22.0
25.627.6
Auto8.6
Teleop17.3
End4.3
blue by 1.1
2928
#45
31.30.8
29.930.8
Auto9.3
Teleop16.9
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
18%Capture oddsEarned21%Capture oddsEarned