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Red136
321927.2
198343.9
367436.4
Blue108
151025.2
413137.2
302438.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108101406080120140160180136108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.91.8
44.145.9
Auto12.6
Teleop17.5
End13.9
red by 5.9
3024
#30
38.00.6
37.438.0
Auto8.6
Teleop23.7
End5.6
Second
3674
#46
36.41.8
34.636.4
Auto7.8
Teleop23.1
End5.5
blue by 0.9
4131
#18
37.20.6
37.137.7
Auto7.3
Teleop25.3
End4.7
Third
3219
#31
27.21.8
25.427.2
Auto6.2
Teleop16.4
End4.5
red by 2.0
1510
#64
25.20.6
24.625.2
Auto6.6
Teleop15.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
19%Capture oddsEarned10%Capture oddsEarned