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Red117
508525.7
154048.5
142542.1
Blue100
247142.5
293031.2
281129.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12710450150200117100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.50.2
49.549.3
Auto11.2
Teleop31.4
End5.9
red by 6.0
2471
#24
42.50.3
43.242.9
Auto14.4
Teleop21.6
End6.5
Second
42.10.2
44.344.1
Auto7.8
Teleop20.7
End13.6
red by 10.9
2930
#33
31.20.3
31.531.2
Auto9.5
Teleop16.1
End5.5
Third
5085
#47
25.70.2
25.925.7
Auto9.3
Teleop13.0
End3.4
blue by 3.5
2811
#63
29.20.3
29.529.2
Auto6.4
Teleop17.9
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
57%Capture oddsEarned26%Capture oddsMissed