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Red96
408928.5
214732.1
177835.3
Blue105
412530.4
378624.0
546829.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1038220406012014016096105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1778
#14
35.30.4
35.735.3
Auto7.1
Teleop22.9
End5.3
red by 5.0
4125
#38
30.40.5
29.930.4
Auto9.6
Teleop16.7
End4.0
Second
2147
#35
32.10.4
32.532.1
Auto11.3
Teleop15.2
End5.6
red by 2.5
5468
#61
29.60.5
29.129.6
Auto9.9
Teleop16.1
End3.6
Third
4089
#13
28.50.4
28.928.5
Auto8.2
Teleop15.8
End4.4
red by 4.5
3786
#58
24.00.5
23.524.0
Auto9.0
Teleop11.4
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
16%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsMissed