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Red105
214923.1
498036.1
339331.7
Blue136
406136.3
255741.6
549533.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81109050100150105136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4980
#44
36.10.8
26.827.6
Auto9.8
Teleop15.0
End11.3
blue by 5.5
2557
#15
41.61.3
35.837.1
Auto7.6
Teleop24.2
End9.8
Second
3393
#39
31.70.8
34.635.4
Auto9.1
Teleop18.0
End4.7
blue by 4.6
4061
#25
36.31.3
38.439.7
Auto11.1
Teleop19.2
End6.0
Third
2149
#50
23.10.8
21.822.6
Auto10.7
Teleop10.7
End1.7
blue by 10.5
5495
#20
33.61.3
27.729.0
Auto10.4
Teleop18.5
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned