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Red109
545033.3
237436.8
151025.2
Blue97
491528.6
592034.1
292831.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9689020030040050010997

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2374
#26
36.81.1
34.735.9
Auto10.1
Teleop22.5
End4.1
red by 2.7
5920
#36
34.10.3
33.333.6
Auto9.1
Teleop21.2
End3.9
Second
5450
#19
33.31.1
33.334.5
Auto7.3
Teleop20.0
End6.1
red by 2.0
2928
#45
31.30.3
28.829.1
Auto9.3
Teleop16.9
End5.1
Third
1510
#64
25.21.1
24.125.2
Auto6.6
Teleop15.8
End2.8
blue by 3.4
4915
#55
28.60.3
25.425.7
Auto8.7
Teleop16.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed