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Red116
154048.5
252232.1
413137.2
Blue90
99727.7
594238.0
546829.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1148305010015020011690

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.50.3
46.747.0
Auto11.2
Teleop31.4
End5.9
red by 10.5
5942
#37
38.00.3
29.629.9
Auto8.2
Teleop23.7
End6.1
Second
4131
#18
37.20.3
30.430.7
Auto7.3
Teleop25.3
End4.7
red by 7.6
5468
#61
29.60.3
30.630.9
Auto9.9
Teleop16.1
End3.6
Third
2522
#28
32.10.3
29.129.5
Auto12.0
Teleop15.9
End4.2
red by 4.4
997
#60
27.70.3
24.925.2
Auto8.0
Teleop17.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed