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Red101
491135.0
290733.8
378624.0
Blue107
75330.5
420526.0
247142.5
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80104050150101107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4911
#16
35.01.3
31.733.0
Auto9.4
Teleop20.1
End5.6
blue by 7.5
2471
#24
42.50.6
41.141.7
Auto14.4
Teleop21.6
End6.5
Second
2907
#29
33.81.3
28.129.4
Auto10.2
Teleop18.4
End5.1
red by 3.3
753
#22
30.50.6
27.828.5
Auto8.0
Teleop17.5
End5.1
Third
3786
#58
24.01.3
21.422.7
Auto9.0
Teleop11.4
End3.5
blue by 2.0
4205
#57
26.00.6
28.829.4
Auto7.6
Teleop14.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsEarned