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Red95
298031.1
177835.3
366337.2
Blue89
125835.6
321927.2
597030.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96810501502009589

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3663
#56DQ
37.20.2
37.537.8
Auto10.6
Teleop21.8
End4.7
red by 1.6
1258
#10
35.60.5
32.031.6
Auto11.4
Teleop17.6
End6.6
Second
1778
#14
35.30.2
29.930.1
Auto7.1
Teleop22.9
End5.3
red by 5.2
5970
#48
30.20.5
23.523.0
Auto8.6
Teleop17.3
End4.3
Third
2980
#17
31.10.2
24.024.2
Auto6.7
Teleop20.1
End4.3
red by 4.0
3219
#31
27.20.5
25.725.2
Auto6.2
Teleop16.4
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed