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Red74
281129.2
508525.7
294428.9
Blue100
446939.8
445041.1
159536.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions881195010015020074100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2811
#63
29.21.1
33.732.6
Auto6.4
Teleop17.9
End5.0
blue by 11.9
41.10.7
38.738.0
Auto8.4
Teleop24.8
End7.8
Second
2944
#43
28.91.1
28.127.1
Auto8.4
Teleop16.4
End4.1
blue by 10.9
39.80.7
41.741.0
Auto8.2
Teleop26.5
End5.1
Third
5085
#47
25.71.1
28.227.1
Auto9.3
Teleop13.0
End3.4
blue by 10.7
1595
#32
36.40.7
30.529.7
Auto11.4
Teleop18.4
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsEarned