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Red75
322326.7
546829.6
339331.7
Blue65
407722.9
151025.2
378725.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97770501507565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3393
#39
31.71.4
35.434.0
Auto9.1
Teleop18.0
End4.7
red by 6.6
1510
#64
25.20.9
25.224.3
Auto6.6
Teleop15.8
End2.8
Second
5468
#61
29.61.4
30.929.5
Auto9.9
Teleop16.1
End3.6
red by 4.5
3787
#49
25.20.9
26.525.7
Auto8.9
Teleop12.6
End3.6
Third
3223
#34
26.71.4
25.023.6
Auto9.6
Teleop12.2
End4.9
red by 3.7
4077
#59
22.90.9
26.225.3
Auto7.4
Teleop10.9
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed