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Red99
378624.0
36041.6
558827.5
Blue107
255741.6
131842.2
291033.8
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions771165010015020099107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#5
41.61.2
31.933.1
Auto9.7
Teleop27.0
End5.0
blue by 0.6
42.20.0
42.242.2
Auto11.1
Teleop26.7
End4.4
Second
5588
#40
27.51.2
26.027.3
Auto8.9
Teleop13.4
End5.1
blue by 14.1
2557
#15
41.60.0
37.137.0
Auto7.6
Teleop24.2
End9.8
Third
3786
#58
24.01.2
22.723.9
Auto9.0
Teleop11.4
End3.5
blue by 9.8
2910
#21
33.80.0
28.027.9
Auto8.2
Teleop16.9
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed