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Red130
382635.3
594238.0
498036.1
Blue139
177835.3
142542.1
323843.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8912550100150200130139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5942
#37
38.02.6
29.932.5
Auto8.2
Teleop23.7
End6.1
blue by 5.6
3238
#23
43.60.9
42.443.3
Auto9.0
Teleop29.7
End4.9
Second
4980
#44
36.12.6
27.630.1
Auto9.8
Teleop15.0
End11.3
blue by 6.0
42.10.9
43.244.1
Auto7.8
Teleop20.7
End13.6
Third
3826
#42
35.32.6
34.236.7
Auto10.9
Teleop19.4
End5.0
Level
1778
#14
35.30.9
30.131.0
Auto7.1
Teleop22.9
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed7%Capture oddsEarned