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Red103
558827.5
491528.6
580339.9
Blue94
546829.6
508525.7
125835.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9190708010011010394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.91.1
33.534.6
Auto9.0
Teleop19.1
End11.7
red by 4.2
1258
#10
35.60.3
32.632.9
Auto11.4
Teleop17.6
End6.6
Second
4915
#55
28.61.1
26.327.3
Auto8.7
Teleop16.5
End3.4
blue by 1.0
5468
#61
29.60.3
29.529.8
Auto9.9
Teleop16.1
End3.6
Third
5588
#40
27.51.1
27.328.3
Auto8.9
Teleop13.4
End5.1
red by 1.8
5085
#47
25.70.3
27.127.5
Auto9.3
Teleop13.0
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed