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Red120
321927.2
302438.0
131842.2
Blue100
549533.6
371131.2
545033.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10895050150120100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.20.8
42.243.0
Auto11.1
Teleop26.7
End4.4
red by 8.6
5495
#20
33.60.1
29.529.6
Auto10.4
Teleop18.5
End4.7
Second
3024
#30
38.00.8
34.134.9
Auto8.6
Teleop23.7
End5.6
red by 4.6
5450
#19
33.30.1
34.634.7
Auto7.3
Teleop20.0
End6.1
Third
3219
#31
27.20.8
26.527.3
Auto6.2
Teleop16.4
End4.5
blue by 4.0
3711
#53
31.20.1
29.930.0
Auto10.4
Teleop16.3
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsMissed4%Capture oddsEarned