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Red85
99727.7
237436.8
198343.9
Blue97
378725.2
293031.2
366337.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106984060801201401601808597

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.91.1
40.739.5
Auto12.6
Teleop17.5
End13.9
red by 6.7
3663
#56
37.20.3
38.137.9
Auto10.6
Teleop21.8
End4.7
Second
2374
#26
36.81.1
35.834.7
Auto10.1
Teleop22.5
End4.1
red by 5.6
2930
#33
31.20.3
32.432.1
Auto9.5
Teleop16.1
End5.5
Third
997
#60
27.71.1
25.624.4
Auto8.0
Teleop17.0
End2.7
red by 2.6
3787
#49
25.20.3
25.725.4
Auto8.9
Teleop12.6
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed