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Red99
367436.4
582722.5
154048.5
Blue106
406136.3
142542.1
95533.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions931225015099106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.50.0
47.046.9
Auto11.2
Teleop31.4
End5.9
red by 6.4
42.10.5
44.143.6
Auto7.8
Teleop20.7
End13.6
Second
3674
#46
36.40.0
30.130.1
Auto7.8
Teleop23.1
End5.5
red by 0.1
4061
#25
36.30.5
39.238.7
Auto11.1
Teleop19.2
End6.0
Third
5827
#54
22.50.0
17.317.2
Auto8.8
Teleop10.8
End3.0
blue by 10.5
955
#7
33.00.5
30.630.1
Auto8.4
Teleop20.1
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
14%Capture oddsMissed9%Capture oddsEarned