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Red95
247142.5
382635.3
263524.9
Blue120
498036.1
159536.4
36041.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109935015020095120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2471
#24
42.50.6
41.941.4
Auto14.4
Teleop21.6
End6.5
red by 0.8
360
#5
41.61.5
33.134.6
Auto9.7
Teleop27.0
End5.0
Second
3826
#42
35.30.6
36.736.2
Auto10.9
Teleop19.4
End5.0
blue by 1.0
1595
#32
36.41.5
29.731.2
Auto11.4
Teleop18.4
End6.6
Third
2635
#62
24.90.6
24.724.2
Auto7.5
Teleop13.6
End3.8
blue by 11.1
4980
#44
36.11.5
30.131.6
Auto9.8
Teleop15.0
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned