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Red89
323843.6
558827.5
263524.9
Blue101
448843.5
154048.5
214923.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions891265010015020089101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3238
#23
43.60.2
43.943.7
Auto9.0
Teleop29.7
End4.9
blue by 4.9
48.51.1
47.846.7
Auto11.2
Teleop31.4
End5.9
Second
5588
#40
27.50.2
25.625.4
Auto8.9
Teleop13.4
End5.1
blue by 16.0
4488
#11
43.51.1
46.645.5
Auto12.4
Teleop24.6
End6.5
Third
2635
#62
24.90.2
22.322.1
Auto7.5
Teleop13.6
End3.8
red by 1.9
2149
#50
23.11.1
22.921.8
Auto10.7
Teleop10.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed12%Capture oddsEarned