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Red56
498036.1
371131.2
322326.7
Blue104
357436.2
125835.6
378624.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9090608010056104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4980
#44
36.12.1
28.926.8
Auto9.8
Teleop15.0
End11.3
blue by 0.1
3574
#12
36.20.7
35.936.6
Auto9.3
Teleop21.5
End5.3
Second
3711
#53
31.22.1
32.130.0
Auto10.4
Teleop16.3
End4.5
blue by 4.4
1258
#10
35.60.7
31.332.0
Auto11.4
Teleop17.6
End6.6
Third
3223
#34
26.72.1
26.824.7
Auto9.6
Teleop12.2
End4.9
red by 2.7
3786
#58
24.00.7
20.621.4
Auto9.0
Teleop11.4
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsMissed91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned