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Red95
445041.1
406136.3
291033.8
Blue106
413137.2
580339.9
549533.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115865010015095106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.11.1
40.739.6
Auto8.4
Teleop24.8
End7.8
red by 1.2
39.91.2
32.233.4
Auto9.0
Teleop19.1
End11.7
Second
4061
#25
36.31.1
39.538.4
Auto11.1
Teleop19.2
End6.0
blue by 1.0
4131
#18
37.21.2
29.230.4
Auto7.3
Teleop25.3
End4.7
Third
2910
#21
33.81.1
27.025.8
Auto8.2
Teleop16.9
End8.7
red by 0.2
5495
#20
33.61.2
26.527.7
Auto10.4
Teleop18.5
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed