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Red135
413137.2
445041.1
412530.4
Blue90
405736.9
357436.2
255741.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9911340608012014016018013590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.12.5
38.040.4
Auto8.4
Teleop24.8
End7.8
blue by 0.5
2557
#15
41.61.2
37.035.8
Auto7.6
Teleop24.2
End9.8
Second
4131
#18
37.22.5
30.533.0
Auto7.3
Teleop25.3
End4.7
red by 0.3
4057
#41
36.91.2
33.832.6
Auto7.5
Teleop24.5
End4.9
Third
4125
#38
30.42.5
29.632.1
Auto9.6
Teleop16.7
End4.0
blue by 5.8
3574
#12
36.21.2
37.035.8
Auto9.3
Teleop21.5
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed