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Red58
292831.3
448843.5
508525.7
Blue74
378624.0
420526.0
302438.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108890501502002503005874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4488
#11
43.52.9
45.542.5
Auto12.4
Teleop24.6
End6.5
red by 5.6
3024
#30
38.01.0
34.933.9
Auto8.6
Teleop23.7
End5.6
Second
2928
#45
31.32.9
29.026.1
Auto9.3
Teleop16.9
End5.1
red by 5.3
4205
#57
26.01.0
30.729.7
Auto7.6
Teleop14.6
End3.8
Third
5085
#47
25.72.9
27.524.5
Auto9.3
Teleop13.0
End3.4
red by 1.7
3786
#58
24.01.0
23.922.9
Auto9.0
Teleop11.4
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsMissed83%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
6%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed