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Red110
413137.2
237436.8
294428.9
Blue93
339331.7
371131.2
263524.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions999040608012014016018011093

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4131
#18
37.20.7
33.033.7
Auto7.3
Teleop25.3
End4.7
red by 5.5
3393
#39
31.70.3
34.735.0
Auto9.1
Teleop18.0
End4.7
Second
2374
#26
36.80.7
34.735.4
Auto10.1
Teleop22.5
End4.1
red by 5.7
3711
#53
31.20.3
30.030.2
Auto10.4
Teleop16.3
End4.5
Third
2944
#43
28.90.7
27.027.7
Auto8.4
Teleop16.4
End4.1
red by 4.0
2635
#62
24.90.3
24.224.4
Auto7.5
Teleop13.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed