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Red114
413225.2
357436.2
366337.2
Blue130
154048.5
75330.5
214732.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103111406080120140160180114130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3663
#56
37.20.2
37.938.0
Auto10.6
Teleop21.8
End4.7
blue by 11.3
48.51.5
46.948.5
Auto11.2
Teleop31.4
End5.9
Second
3574
#12
36.20.2
35.836.0
Auto9.3
Teleop21.5
End5.3
red by 4.1
2147
#35
32.11.5
31.032.5
Auto11.3
Teleop15.2
End5.6
Third
4132
#52
25.20.2
27.828.0
Auto9.0
Teleop12.6
End3.7
blue by 5.3
753
#22
30.51.5
29.030.5
Auto8.0
Teleop17.5
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned26%Capture oddsEarned