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Red97
293031.2
322326.7
299035.0
Blue106
292831.3
549533.6
177835.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions909160708010011097106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2990
#51
35.00.2
32.733.0
Auto10.1
Teleop19.4
End5.5
blue by 0.3
1778
#14
35.30.6
31.832.4
Auto7.1
Teleop22.9
End5.3
Second
2930
#33
31.20.2
32.132.3
Auto9.5
Teleop16.1
End5.5
blue by 2.4
5495
#20
33.60.6
29.630.2
Auto10.4
Teleop18.5
End4.7
Third
3223
#34
26.70.2
23.824.0
Auto9.6
Teleop12.2
End4.9
blue by 4.6
2928
#45
31.30.6
26.126.6
Auto9.3
Teleop16.9
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned3%Capture oddsMissed