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Red83
491528.6
378624.0
405736.9
Blue114
298031.1
382635.3
592034.1
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82101406012014016083114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4057
#41
36.90.0
32.632.6
Auto7.5
Teleop24.5
End4.9
red by 1.6
3826
#42
35.30.9
36.237.1
Auto10.9
Teleop19.4
End5.0
Second
4915
#55
28.60.0
27.327.3
Auto8.7
Teleop16.5
End3.4
blue by 5.5
5920
#36
34.10.9
33.534.4
Auto9.1
Teleop21.2
End3.9
Third
3786
#58
24.00.0
22.922.9
Auto9.0
Teleop11.4
End3.5
blue by 7.2
2980
#17
31.10.9
25.726.6
Auto6.7
Teleop20.1
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
75%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed