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Red107
159536.4
299035.0
339331.7
Blue112
448843.5
298031.1
125835.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102107406080120140160107112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1595
#32
36.40.5
32.132.5
Auto11.4
Teleop18.4
End6.6
blue by 7.1
4488
#11
43.50.3
43.043.3
Auto12.4
Teleop24.6
End6.5
Second
2990
#51
35.00.5
33.033.4
Auto10.1
Teleop19.4
End5.5
blue by 0.6
1258
#10
35.60.3
33.433.7
Auto11.4
Teleop17.6
End6.6
Third
3393
#39
31.70.5
35.035.4
Auto9.1
Teleop18.0
End4.7
red by 0.6
2980
#17
31.10.3
26.626.9
Auto6.7
Teleop20.1
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsEarned10%Capture oddsEarned