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Red133
445041.1
198343.9
292831.3
Blue91
99727.7
491528.6
247142.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1159440608014016018020013391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.90.6
41.041.7
Auto12.6
Teleop17.5
End13.9
red by 1.4
2471
#24
42.50.2
41.941.6
Auto14.4
Teleop21.6
End6.5
Second
41.10.6
40.941.5
Auto8.4
Teleop24.8
End7.8
red by 12.5
4915
#55
28.60.2
27.327.1
Auto8.7
Teleop16.5
End3.4
Third
2928
#45
31.30.6
26.627.3
Auto9.3
Teleop16.9
End5.1
red by 3.6
997
#60
27.70.2
25.024.8
Auto8.0
Teleop17.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsEarned6%Capture oddsMissed