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Red95
508525.7
405736.9
322326.7
Blue81
291033.8
413225.2
237436.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81992040601201409581

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4057
#41
36.90.9
32.633.5
Auto7.5
Teleop24.5
End4.9
red by 0.1
2374
#26
36.81.1
35.434.2
Auto10.1
Teleop22.5
End4.1
Second
3223
#34
26.70.9
24.024.9
Auto9.6
Teleop12.2
End4.9
blue by 7.1
2910
#21
33.81.1
29.828.7
Auto8.2
Teleop16.9
End8.7
Third
5085
#47
25.70.9
24.525.5
Auto9.3
Teleop13.0
End3.4
red by 0.5
4132
#52
25.21.1
28.026.8
Auto9.0
Teleop12.6
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned4%Capture oddsMissed