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Red100
406136.3
281129.2
214732.1
Blue127
131842.2
293031.2
36041.6
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100117406080140160100127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4061
#25
36.30.0
37.937.9
Auto11.1
Teleop19.2
End6.0
blue by 5.9
42.20.7
43.243.9
Auto11.1
Teleop26.7
End4.4
Second
2147
#35
32.10.0
32.532.5
Auto11.3
Teleop15.2
End5.6
blue by 9.6
360
#5
41.60.7
36.136.8
Auto9.7
Teleop27.0
End5.0
Third
2811
#63
29.20.0
29.629.6
Auto6.4
Teleop17.9
End5.0
blue by 2.0
2930
#33
31.20.7
32.333.0
Auto9.5
Teleop16.1
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
7%Capture oddsMissed6%Capture oddsEarned