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Red101
597030.2
75330.5
290733.8
Blue145
382635.3
413137.2
255741.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions861154060100140160180101145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2907
#29
33.80.9
32.233.1
Auto10.2
Teleop18.4
End5.1
blue by 7.8
2557
#15
41.61.8
36.738.5
Auto7.6
Teleop24.2
End9.8
Second
753
#22
30.50.9
30.531.4
Auto8.0
Teleop17.5
End5.1
blue by 6.8
4131
#18
37.21.8
33.735.5
Auto7.3
Teleop25.3
End4.7
Third
5970
#48
30.20.9
24.825.7
Auto8.6
Teleop17.3
End4.3
blue by 5.2
3826
#42
35.31.8
37.138.9
Auto10.9
Teleop19.4
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed