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Red111
357436.2
408928.5
446939.8
Blue106
491528.6
198343.9
142542.1
38%Model gave it62%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1091176080100140160111106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.80.2
43.243.4
Auto8.2
Teleop26.5
End5.1
blue by 4.1
43.90.4
41.741.2
Auto12.6
Teleop17.5
End13.9
Second
3574
#12
36.20.2
37.537.7
Auto9.3
Teleop21.5
End5.3
blue by 5.9
42.10.4
43.643.2
Auto7.8
Teleop20.7
End13.6
Third
4089
#13
28.50.2
26.626.9
Auto8.2
Teleop15.8
End4.4
blue by 0.1
4915
#55
28.60.4
27.126.7
Auto8.7
Teleop16.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
11%Capture oddsEarned31%Capture oddsMissed