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Red100
378725.2
406136.3
154048.5
Blue99
299035.0
545033.3
412530.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11910040608014016018020010099

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.51.2
48.146.9
Auto11.2
Teleop31.4
End5.9
red by 13.4
2990
#51
35.00.4
33.433.0
Auto10.1
Teleop19.4
End5.5
Second
4061
#25
36.31.2
37.936.7
Auto11.1
Teleop19.2
End6.0
red by 2.9
5450
#19
33.30.4
33.833.4
Auto7.3
Teleop20.0
End6.1
Third
3787
#49
25.21.2
27.226.0
Auto8.9
Teleop12.6
End3.6
blue by 5.2
4125
#38
30.40.4
32.532.2
Auto9.6
Teleop16.7
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
19%Capture oddsMissed10%Capture oddsEarned